Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19
in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 250 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (02 Nov 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 185 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 250 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

185 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 185 No people No people
Green 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 185 No people No people
Green 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 185 1.2 million No people India
Green 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 204 4.1 million No people India
Green 5 25 Oct 2019 18:00 204 4.1 million No people India
Green 6 26 Oct 2019 00:00 204 4.1 million No people India
Green 7 26 Oct 2019 06:00 213 4.1 million No people India
Green 8 26 Oct 2019 12:00 222 4.1 million No people India
Green 9 26 Oct 2019 18:00 231 4.1 million No people India
Green 10 27 Oct 2019 00:00 250 4.1 million No people India
Green 11 27 Oct 2019 06:00 250 4.1 million No people India
Green 12 27 Oct 2019 12:00 250 4.1 million No people India
Green 13 27 Oct 2019 18:00 241 4.1 million No people India
Green 14 28 Oct 2019 00:00 241 4.1 million No people India
Green 15 28 Oct 2019 06:00 241 4.1 million No people India
Green 16 28 Oct 2019 12:00 241 4.1 million No people India
Green 17 28 Oct 2019 18:00 241 4.1 million No people India
Green 18 29 Oct 2019 00:00 231 4.1 million No people India, Yemen
Green 19 29 Oct 2019 06:00 213 4.1 million No people India, Yemen
Green 20 29 Oct 2019 12:00 194 4.3 million No people India, Yemen, Somalia
Green 21 29 Oct 2019 18:00 194 4.5 million No people India, Yemen, Somalia
Green 22 30 Oct 2019 00:00 185 4.6 million No people India, Yemen, Somalia

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15.8, 71.3
GREEN
2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 15.7, 71.3
GREEN
3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1.2 million people 15.9, 71.7 India
GREEN
4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 4.1 million people 16.3, 71.9 India
GREEN
5 25 Oct 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 160000 people 16.4, 71.5 India
GREEN
6 26 Oct 2019 00:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 16.7, 70.8
GREEN
7 26 Oct 2019 06:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 16.7, 69.9
GREEN
8 26 Oct 2019 12:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 16.7, 69.4
GREEN
9 26 Oct 2019 18:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 16.8, 68.9
GREEN
10 27 Oct 2019 00:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 17, 68.3
GREEN
11 27 Oct 2019 06:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 17.3, 67.4
GREEN
12 27 Oct 2019 12:00 Category 4 250 no people no people 17.5, 66.8
GREEN
13 27 Oct 2019 18:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 17.9, 66.2
GREEN
14 28 Oct 2019 00:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 18.2, 65.5
GREEN
15 28 Oct 2019 06:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 18.3, 64.8
GREEN
16 28 Oct 2019 12:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 18.5, 64.4
GREEN
17 28 Oct 2019 18:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 18.8, 64
GREEN
18 29 Oct 2019 00:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 19.1, 63.5
GREEN
19 29 Oct 2019 06:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 19.3, 63.2
GREEN
20 29 Oct 2019 12:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 19.5, 63
GREEN
21 29 Oct 2019 18:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 19.6, 62.7
GREEN
22 30 Oct 2019 00:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 19.6, 62.2
GREEN
22 30 Oct 2019 12:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 19.4, 61.6
GREEN
22 31 Oct 2019 00:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 18.9, 60.8
GREEN
22 31 Oct 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 18.1, 60
GREEN
22 01 Nov 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 17.3, 59.1
GREEN
22 02 Nov 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 140000 people 14.5, 56.2 Somalia
GREEN
22 03 Nov 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 510000 people 11.9, 51.7 Somalia
GREEN
22 04 Nov 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.7, 48.5 Somalia
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Duqm, Oman. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (72 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 22 of 30 Oct 2019 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Nov 2019 00:00 Duqm Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 04:00 Qaysad Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 04:00 Lakabi Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 04:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 00:00 Nafun Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Kilmia Yemen  0.2
02 Nov 2019 21:00 Kinshia Yemen  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:00 As Sirab Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
02 Nov 2019 00:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Qashlu Yemen  0.2
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Boho Somalia  0.2
02 Nov 2019 15:00 Nait Yemen  0.2
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Qulansiyah Yemen  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Hadiboh Yemen  0.2
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:00 Lakba Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Abo Somalia  0.1
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Steroh Yemen  0.1
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Al Wakrah Qatar  0.1
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Siqirah Yemen  0.1
02 Nov 2019 13:00 Ghubbah Yemen  0.1
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Qadub Yemen  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Tooxin Somalia  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Bandar Murcaayo Somalia  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Geesaley Somalia  0.1
02 Nov 2019 07:00 Miji Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Umm Said Qatar  0.1
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Qasasil Qatar  0.1
02 Nov 2019 10:00 As Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Caluula Somalia  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Asarsa India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Dahej India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Tankari India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Muler India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Gishub Yemen  0.1
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Umm Bab Qatar  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Wadgam India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Al Uqayr Saudi Arabia  0.1
02 Nov 2019 01:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Ghogha India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Harinagar India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 08:00 Fararah Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 04:00 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 08:00 Hasik Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 04:00 Zahr United Arab Emirates  0.1
02 Nov 2019 04:00 Dasah United Arab Emirates  0.1
02 Nov 2019 01:00 Dawwah Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 01:00 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 01:00 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Dukhan Qatar  0.1
02 Nov 2019 13:00 Mutra Yemen  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Mach Somalia  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Dhurbo Somalia  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Botiala Somalia  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Cadayo Somalia  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Kut al Hau Basluu Iraq  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Al Qushlah Iraq  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Nahr-e Abu Fulus Iran  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Bandar-e Khomeyni Iran  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Chatleh Iran  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Ad Dasma' Kuwait  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Al Kuwayt Kuwait  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Az Zawr Kuwait  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Nahr-e Azraq Iran  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Aiesloho Somalia  0.1
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Kambhat India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Kavi India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Sarod India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Nishtun Yemen  0.1
02 Nov 2019 17:00 Qishn Yemen  0.1